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Black Swan Mystery Cache

Hidden : 2/27/2012
Difficulty:
3.5 out of 5
Terrain:
1.5 out of 5

Size: Size:   small (small)

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Geocache Description:

The cache is a small container about twice the size of a 35mm cannister.


The term "Black swan" derives from a Latin expression "rara avis in terris nigroque simillima cygno" meaning "a rare bird in the lands, and very like a black swan." When the phrase was coined, the black swan was presumed not to exist. The expression derives from the Old World presumption that all swans must be white because all historical records of swans reported that they had white feathers. After a Dutch expedition led by explorer Willem de Vlamingh on the Swan River in 1697, discovered black swans in Western Australia, the term changed to mean that a perceived impossibility might later be disproven. In the 19th century the philosopher John Stuart Mill used the black swan logical fallacy as a new term to identify falsification.

One tribe of Australian Aborigines, the Nyungar, believed that their ancestors were black swans who then became men.

More recently, the phrase has been popularised by Nassim Taleb who discusses the impact of rare but high-impact events that on hindsight are seen as being expectable, such '6 Sigma events' include stock market crashes, the rise of the Internet, World War I and the PC.

To find the cache solve this puzzle:
If,
10 →1.282
100 →2.326
1,000 →3.090
10,000 →3.719

Then the cache can be found at:
N 51 ° 25.X
E 000 ° 8.Y+0.009
The offset only needed since the cache was moved slightly on 27/05/16
Where:
X →2.925
Y →2.964

Additional Hints (Decrypt)

Rireterra

Decryption Key

A|B|C|D|E|F|G|H|I|J|K|L|M
-------------------------
N|O|P|Q|R|S|T|U|V|W|X|Y|Z

(letter above equals below, and vice versa)